Published Oct 22, 2023
Nebraska-Purdue odds: Huskers open as narrow home favorites over Boilers
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Zack Carpenter  •  InsideNebraska
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Nebraska vs. Purdue odds have been set in the matchup between the Huskers (4-3, 2-2 Big Ten) and Boilermakers (2-5, ) next Saturday.

Nebraska football has opened as the favorite for the fourth time this season, but they will not be a double-digit favorite for the first time. The Huskers are just a narrow 1-point favorite over Purdue with an over/under line set at 43.5 points for the Saturday afternoon Big Ten game (2:30 p.m. CT on Fox Sports 1).

Nebraska was a single-digit road underdog in Week 1 and Week 2 in losses at Minnesota and Colorado before it became a double-digit home favorite against MAC opponent Northern Illinois and Conference USA foe Louisiana Tech. Following back-to-back wins, the Huskers were double-digit underdogs for the first time this season against No. 2 Michigan and lost 45-7.

Nebraska was the only team in the country to open the season with road games against Power Five opponents, and the Huskers were the last team in the Power Five to play a home game. Matt Rhule's team faltered in those first two games as two straight frustrating losses were marred by turnovers from starting quarterback Jeff Sims, penalties, mistakes and other self-inflicted wounds against Minnesota (13-10 loss) and then-No. 22 Colorado (36-14).

However, the Huskers rebounded in a big way in Week 3 to beat Northern Illinois, 35-11, behind a standout performance from third-year sophomore quarterback Heinrich Haarberg, the Huskers' backup who has taken over as the team's starter for now.

Haarberg's number was called once again versus Louisiana Tech, and the Nebraska native came through. Haarberg's strong overall play boosted the Huskers to a 28-14 win over La Tech before the home loss to Michigan. He then made some big-time plays to buoy the offensive effort in a 20-7 road win over Illinois in a Friday night game on the road just before the Huskers' bye week.

Haarberg, however, is coming off a rough overall performance against Northwestern as he finished 8-for-17 (47.1 completion percentage) for just 85 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions in addition to 72 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries. Haarberg did just enough offensively, though, to support another strong effort from the Huskers' defense that recorded eight sacks, 13 TFLs and limited the Wildcats to 257 offensive yards (including 81 rushing yards, highlighted by limiting them to minus-5 yards rushing in the second half) in a 17-9 victory.

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Nebraska betting trends in 2023

>> Nebraska is 4-3 straight up and 3-4 against the spread under Rhule.

>> The Huskers are 1-3 as an underdog and 3-0 as the favorite straight up. Against the spread, they have gone 2-2 as an underdog and 1-2 as the favorite. The over is 2-5 in Nebraska's games this season with the over hitting twice and the under hitting five times.

>> Nebraska is 3-1 at home straight up and 1-2 on the road this year.

>> Nebraska entered the game against Minnesota as 7.5-point underdogs on the road with a closing total of 43 points. Nebraska covered, and the under hit in a 13-10 Husker loss.

>> Nebraska entered the game against Colorado as 2.5-point underdogs on the road and a closing total of 58 points. Nebraska failed to cover the spread while the under hit with a closing line set at 58 in a 36-14 Husker loss.

>> Nebraska was the favorite for the first time this season against Northern Illinois. The Huskers opened at -10.5 and covered that spread while the over hit for the first time this season for the Huskers (42.5) in a 35-11 Husker win.

>> Nebraska entered the Louisiana Tech game at -22 as the opening spread and an over/under that opened at 50.5. The Huskers did not cover, and the under hit in that contest with Nebraska's 28-14 win.

>> Nebraska entered the Michigan game at -17 with an over/under at 39.5. The Huskers did not cover, and the over hit in Michigan's 45-7 win.

>> Nebraska opened as a 4-point underdog with an over/under at 41.5 on the road at Illinois. The Huskers covered the spread and won straight up while the under hit in a 20-7 win.

>> Nebraska was an 11.5-point favorite with an over/under at 44.5 at home against Northwestern. The Huskers won straight up but did not cover while the under hit in a 17-9 win.

Purdue trends

>> Purdue is 2-5 straight up and 2-5 against the spread. The over is 3-4 in Purdue's games this season as the over has hit in three of their games, and the under has hit four times.

>> Purdue is 1-4 straight up at home and 1-1 straight up on the road this season. The Boilers are 1-4 against the spread at home and 1-1 straight up on the road.

>> The wins against the spread were over Illinois at home and over Virginia Tech on the road.

>> The losses against the spread were to Fresno State, Syracuse, Wisconsin and Ohio State at home. The one road loss against the spread was at the hands of Iowa.

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